Launch report · Russian Federal Space Agency (ROSCOSMOS)

Soyuz 2.1b | Progress MS-36 (97P)

Soyuz 2.1b by Russian Federal Space Agency (ROSCOSMOS) from 31/6, Baikonur Cosmodrome, Republic of Kazakhstan, NET 2026-11-24 05:03 UTC. Our final pre-flight call was UNCLEAR at 30% confidence, T-41d 7h. It will be scored once the official outcome is in.

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LAUNCH FACTS

VEHICLE
Soyuz 2.1b
PROVIDER
Russian Federal Space Agency (ROSCOSMOS)
PAD
31/6
LOCATION
Baikonur Cosmodrome, Republic of Kazakhstan
NET
2026-11-24 05:03 UTC
WINDOW
Instantaneous
ORBIT
Low Earth Orbit
LL2 STATUS
To Be Confirmed

MISSION

Progress resupply mission to the International Space Station.

OUTCOME + OUR CALL

Official outcome: Not flown yet / not resolved

Our final pre-flight call was UNCLEAR at 30% confidence, T-41d 7h. It will be scored once the official outcome is in.

Scoring rule: a launch that reached flight means the countdown proceeded, so a GO or HOLDING call is right and a SCRUB call is a false alarm. Only the last call made before T-0 counts.

ANALYST READ

Final pre-flight read · 2026-10-13 21:05 UTC · T-41d 7h · UNCLEAR 30%

No operational chatter; Progress MS-36 still TBC

One factual announcement post only; no pad presence, no anomalies, organic sample too small to shift status. Official TBC and distant NET date align with silence.

CALL TIMELINE (1)

Logged (UTC)T-minusCallConfidenceSource
2026-10-13 21:05T-41d 7hUNCLEAR30%grok

Launch data: Launch Library 2 · Calls: RocketScan (Grok over live X chatter) · Report URL: /launches/soyuz-2-1b-progress-ms-36-97p