Launch report · Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
H3-24 | Martian Moons eXploration (MMX)
H3-24 by Mitsubishi Heavy Industries from Yoshinobu Launch Complex LP-2, Tanegashima Space Center, Japan, NET 2026-10-19 19:41 UTC. Outcome: launch successful. Our final pre-flight call was GO at 85% confidence, T-4d 9h - and it was right.
Open live in mission control →LAUNCH FACTS
- VEHICLE
- H3-24
- PROVIDER
- Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
- PAD
- Yoshinobu Launch Complex LP-2
- LOCATION
- Tanegashima Space Center, Japan
- NET
- 2026-10-19 19:41 UTC
- WINDOW
- Instantaneous
- ORBIT
- Mars Orbit
- LL2 STATUS
- Launch Successful
MISSION
MMX is a Japanese scientific mission to land on Phobos, one of the two moons of Mars, to collect samples before bringing them back to Earth. The mission includes a small French/German rover to explore the surface of Phobos.
OUTCOME + OUR CALL
Official outcome: Launch successful
Our final pre-flight call was GO at 85% confidence, T-4d 9h - and it was right.
✓ Call matched the outcome
Scoring rule: a launch that reached flight means the countdown proceeded, so a GO or HOLDING call is right and a SCRUB call is a false alarm. Only the last call made before T-0 counts.
ANALYST READ
Countdown green; media briefings underway for Oct 19 NET
X posts center on NASA/JAXA briefings and mission hardware with no reported anomalies or holds. Organic chatter from established accounts reinforces nominal status.
CALL TIMELINE (2)
| Logged (UTC) | T-minus | Call | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 10:37 | T-4d 9h | GO | 92% | grok |
| 2026-10-15 10:37 | T-4d 9h | GO | 85% | grok |
Launch data: Launch Library 2 · Calls: RocketScan (Grok over live X chatter) · Report URL: /launches/h3-24-martian-moons-exploration-mmx