Launch report · SpaceX
Falcon 9 Block 5 | Starlink Group 15-25
Falcon 9 Block 5 by SpaceX from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA, NET 2026-10-13 00:28 UTC. Outcome: launch successful. Our final pre-flight call was GO at 82% confidence, T-16h 15m - and it was right.
Open live in mission control →LAUNCH FACTS
- VEHICLE
- Falcon 9 Block 5
- PROVIDER
- SpaceX
- PAD
- Space Launch Complex 4E
- LOCATION
- Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
- NET
- 2026-10-13 00:28 UTC
- WINDOW
- 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC → 03:00 UTC
- ORBIT
- Low Earth Orbit
- LL2 STATUS
- Launch Successful
MISSION
A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system.
OUTCOME + OUR CALL
Official outcome: Launch successful
Our final pre-flight call was GO at 82% confidence, T-16h 15m - and it was right.
✓ Call matched the outcome
Scoring rule: a launch that reached flight means the countdown proceeded, so a GO or HOLDING call is right and a SCRUB call is a false alarm. Only the last call made before T-0 counts.
ANALYST READ
Starlink 15-25 on track for Oct-12 evening liftoff from VAFB
Chatter consists of standard countdown posts and small timing adjustments from established accounts; no propellant, range, or hardware issues raised. Organic signal and credible sources outweigh scattered historical abort mentions.
CALL TIMELINE (1)
| Logged (UTC) | T-minus | Call | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 07:56 | T-16h 15m | GO | 82% | grok |
Launch data: Launch Library 2 · Calls: RocketScan (Grok over live X chatter) · Report URL: /launches/falcon-9-block-5-starlink-group-15-25