Launch report · SpaceX
Falcon 9 Block 5 | Starlink Group 15-16
Falcon 9 Block 5 by SpaceX from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA, NET 2026-10-27 04:45 UTC. Our final pre-flight call was GO at 85% confidence, T-1d 15h. It will be scored once the official outcome is in.
Open live in mission control →LAUNCH FACTS
- VEHICLE
- Falcon 9 Block 5
- PROVIDER
- SpaceX
- PAD
- Space Launch Complex 4E
- LOCATION
- Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
- NET
- 2026-10-27 04:45 UTC
- WINDOW
- 2026-10-27 04:45 UTC → 08:45 UTC
- ORBIT
- Low Earth Orbit
- LL2 STATUS
- Go for Launch
MISSION
A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system.
OUTCOME + OUR CALL
Official outcome: Not flown yet / not resolved
Our final pre-flight call was GO at 85% confidence, T-1d 15h. It will be scored once the official outcome is in.
Scoring rule: a launch that reached flight means the countdown proceeded, so a GO or HOLDING call is right and a SCRUB call is a false alarm. Only the last call made before T-0 counts.
ANALYST READ
Starlink 15-16 remains on track for Tue 04:45Z window
X posts center on the just-completed 15-15 mission and list the 27 Oct slot with no anomalies or delays flagged. Organic chatter and credible schedule posts outweigh any residual historical scrub references.
CALL TIMELINE (1)
| Logged (UTC) | T-minus | Call | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 13:17 | T-1d 15h | GO | 85% | grok |
Launch data: Launch Library 2 · Calls: RocketScan (Grok over live X chatter) · Report URL: /launches/falcon-9-block-5-starlink-group-15-16