Launch report · SpaceX
Falcon 9 Block 5 | Starlink Group 15-15
Falcon 9 Block 5 by SpaceX from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA, NET 2026-10-22 22:40 UTC. Our final pre-flight call was GO at 85% confidence, T-5h 37m. It will be scored once the official outcome is in.
Open live in mission control →LAUNCH FACTS
- VEHICLE
- Falcon 9 Block 5
- PROVIDER
- SpaceX
- PAD
- Space Launch Complex 4E
- LOCATION
- Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
- NET
- 2026-10-22 22:40 UTC
- WINDOW
- 2026-10-22 21:45 UTC → 01:45 UTC
- ORBIT
- Low Earth Orbit
- LL2 STATUS
- Go for Launch
MISSION
A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system.
OUTCOME + OUR CALL
Official outcome: Not flown yet / not resolved
Our final pre-flight call was GO at 85% confidence, T-5h 37m. It will be scored once the official outcome is in.
Scoring rule: a launch that reached flight means the countdown proceeded, so a GO or HOLDING call is right and a SCRUB call is a false alarm. Only the last call made before T-0 counts.
ANALYST READ
GO for 22:40 UTC window; weather/range still permitting
Recent credible posts confirm the Starlink 15-15 attempt remains on track for tonight after prior-day scrubs. No new technical or weather holds reported in the last several hours; chatter is organic and retrospective.
CALL TIMELINE (1)
| Logged (UTC) | T-minus | Call | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 17:25 | T-5h 37m | GO | 85% | grok |
Launch data: Launch Library 2 · Calls: RocketScan (Grok over live X chatter) · Report URL: /launches/falcon-9-block-5-starlink-group-15-15